Brisbane Leading the Property Recovery
Brisbane Leading the Property Recovery

Brisbane is the only capital city to report positive property price growth in the June quarter, with the upswing also extending to parts of regional Queensland.

The Australian Property Market Report July 2019 by has revealed that Brisbane is “leading Australia’s recovery”, having weathered the downturn “very well” with prices only falling by 1 per cent over the past 12 months and recording 0.1 per cent growth in the June quarter.

Even Hobart, which has arguably been the nation’s top performing capital during the national downturn, recorded a 0.7 per cent drop in dwelling values over same quarter.

“(Brisbane) is the first capital city (of the eastern capitals) to see positive growth in June,” the report said. “The upswing is also extending to regional areas, with Mackay seeing the strongest price growth of any region in Australia over the past 12 months, and many smaller mining towns are roaring ahead.”

By comparison, values continued to fall over the same quarter in Sydney and Melbourne, with dwelling prices falling by 0.4 per cent in both cities.

Brisbane was the only capital city to record price growth, with every other capital city, failing to record an uplift in to positive territory.

Renewed confidence in the mining sector, infrastructure spending and continue migration from NSW to Queensland were identified as the most likely reasons behind the upswing in the sunshine state.

“Searches (on in southeast Queensland out of Sydney suggest that population growth continues to come from an exodus from NSW,” the report said.

“While there is a clear affordability edge in southeast Queensland compared to Sydney, it is jobs that are making the move possible.”

Looking at houses and units, the biggest improvement has been in the apartment market, which has seen a 0.7 per cent jump quarter-on-quarter to $387,000.

House prices fell slightly over the same period, down 0.1 per cent to $530,000.

“The other more unique factor about Brisbane is that we are seeing some big jumps in offshore property seekers,” the report said.

“Chinese buyers are gone but property seekers from India have more than doubled over the past 12 months, perhaps suggesting that Indian born buyers may begin to have as big an influence on house and land sales as they have had in Melbourne and Sydney.”

So where are buyers focusing their search? Toowong, Windsor and Paddington were the most in demand suburbs for houses in Queensland during the quarter, with all of the top 10 suburbs located in Brisbane.

  1. Toowong
  2. Windsor
  3. Paddington
  4. Greenslopes
  5. New Farm
  6. Wilston
  7. Holland Park
  8. Ashgrove
  9. Camp Hill
  10. Newmarket

For apartments, the geographic spread is wider, but still focused on the southeast corner. Of the top 10 suburbs, six were on the Gold Coast, two on the Sunshine Coast and two in Brisbane.

Nationally, REA chief economist Nerida Conisbee said the “ScoMo bounce and two interest rate cuts” had breathed new life in to the Australian property market, and it was likely that the “bottom is very close”.

But she warned that while conditions suggested things were moving in to positive territory, there were still some “dark clouds looming on the horizon”.

“If a lot more people lose their jobs, then things could get very bad and it will be far harder to turn things around,” Ms Conisbee said in the report, noting that investor lending was down significantly, and so were the number of Asian buyers.

“While it’s easy to look at the changes and only see the negatives, there are, as always, some things that are looking particularly positive,” she said.

“Many mining towns are returning to growth after five years of negative conditions.

“Rental growth in these areas started some time ago, but a recovery is now following suit.”

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Brisbane Leading the Property Recovery